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Voices

Letting private capital compound will save both Finland's economy and budget
Letting private capital compound will save both Finland's economy and budget

Mar 5, 2026

I live outside Finland today, but I return often enough to sense when something shifts. Distance sharpens perception. You don’t just see statistics, you feel the atmosphere. The rhythm of the streets. The tone of conversations. The energy, or the lack of it.

Before the pandemic, the mindset felt aligned with the rest of Europe, outward-looking, confident, forward-moving. But we never fully rose from it. It’s as if the record stopped, and no one restarted the music. Feels like we have never really returned to the same drive as the other countries.

The question is why.

The diagnosis we avoid

We often explain slow growth through productivity gaps, demographic headwinds, and geopolitical uncertainty. All of these factors matter. But they are not the core constraint.

Finland’s growth problem is not the absence of capital overall, but the weakness of private capital formation.

By capital formation, I mean the process through which private wealth accumulates, remains invested, and compounds within domestic companies over time. Growth requires capital that is not merely consumed or redistributed, but reinvested, repeatedly, into productive risk.

Growth requires compounding capital

Sustained economic expansion depends on one structural dynamic: capital must accumulate, compound, and reallocate toward higher-return opportunities. 

Whether one looks at Sweden’s long-term family-owned industrial groups, Denmark’s pension-fund-backed global companies, and Israel’s reinvestment of tech exits, all show the same pattern: capital that stays close to companies and compounds over time tends to generate repeated growth waves. The common denominator is not only innovation or education. It is the ability of private capital to build up over time and then redeploy into productive risk-taking.

Capital that compounds inside companies strengthens balance sheets, enables acquisitions, finances international expansion, and funds experimentation. Over the decades, it creates new growth waves.

Finland has many strengths. We have a highly educated population, deep technical competence, strong institutions, legal predictability, and social trust that is the envy of many countries. But when it comes to private capital accumulation at scale, we are unfortunately structurally thin.

The structure of Finnish capital

A significant portion of Finland’s wealth is collectively managed through the state, municipalities, and pension funds. These capital pools are stable and important. Yet their mandate is preservation and long-term stability, not aggressive expansion or asymmetric risk-taking.

Private capital behaves differently. It tolerates volatility. It seeks outsized returns. It backs founders. It compounds inside companies over generations and creates reinvestment dynasties. That dynamism fuels structural growth. Yet, this layer of capital is comparatively narrow in Finland.

The inheritance tax example

The inheritance tax debate illustrates the challenge. In Finland, the discussion quickly becomes moral, centered on fairness, redistribution, or privilege. Yet the economic mechanism is rarely examined in detail.

In some cases, inheritance tax obligations can lead long-term owners to extract dividends primarily to meet tax liabilities; capital is removed from the company rather than allowed to compound inside it. Family-owned businesses may distribute profits for years to finance tax payments. This weakens balance sheets, reduces reinvestment capacity, limits acquisitions, and discourages consolidation.

The question is not whether wealth should be taxed. The question is whether taxation structures support or suppress long-term capital accumulation.

There are pragmatic alternatives. Tax obligations could be deferred while ownership remains unchanged. Taxation could be postponed if proceeds are reinvested in productive assets. Incentives could reward domestic reinvestment rather than encourage liquidation.

Capital as economic infrastructure

We have invested heavily in transport networks, digital infrastructure, and energy grids because we understand they enable growth. Capital accumulation should be treated with the same seriousness. In a modern economy, capital is infrastructure. Without current flowing through it, productivity stalls. 

Finland does not lack intelligence or stability. What it lacks is sufficient domestic capital accumulation and compounding at scale.

If we want stronger companies, more scaling success stories, and higher long-term living standards, we must treat capital accumulation not as a suspicious byproduct of success, but as a necessary condition for it.

We need domestic capital cycles that repeatedly finance industrial renewal, technological innovation, and entrepreneurial experimentation. Growth does not depend on a single national champion. It emerges when thousands of companies, from advanced manufacturing to software, from energy solutions to consumer brands, have access to risk capital at multiple stages of development.

That requires wealth that is allowed to accumulate, remain invested, and seek productive returns over time.

Finland has faced far worse than today’s slowdown. The early 1990s were a true national shock, and the country rebuilt. Capitalism does not move in straight lines; it moves in waves, with downturns and recoveries. The question is whether a country has the flexibility to renew itself before renewal becomes unavoidable.

The question is straightforward: Do we want capital to compound here or somewhere else? If the answer is here, then Finland must aim to be the most attractive small economy in which to incorporate, build, and scale a business. 

Let’s not tax our private capital to extinction or exile. This can be done without losing tax income. Quite the opposite will happen, as we can see from e.g. Sweden.

Authors

Peter Seligson is a Finnish investor and business leader with a long career spanning investment banking, asset management, and the forest industry. He currently serves as executive chairman of A. Ahlström Oy and previously held leadership roles, including CEO of Ahlström Invest and Partner at Seligson & Co. Over the course of his career, Seligson has combined strategic thinking with hands-on execution, building and leading organizations across financial services and industrial ownership. Beyond finance, he has a strong interest in sustainable materials and advancing a more plastic-free, environmentally responsible future.

Peter Seligson is a Finnish investor and business leader with a long career spanning investment banking, asset management, and the forest industry. He currently serves as executive chairman of A. Ahlström Oy and previously held leadership roles, including CEO of Ahlström Invest and Partner at Seligson & Co. Over the course of his career, Seligson has combined strategic thinking with hands-on execution, building and leading organizations across financial services and industrial ownership. Beyond finance, he has a strong interest in sustainable materials and advancing a more plastic-free, environmentally responsible future.

Authors

Peter Seligson is a Finnish investor and business leader with a long career spanning investment banking, asset management, and the forest industry. He currently serves as executive chairman of A. Ahlström Oy and previously held leadership roles, including CEO of Ahlström Invest and Partner at Seligson & Co. Over the course of his career, Seligson has combined strategic thinking with hands-on execution, building and leading organizations across financial services and industrial ownership. Beyond finance, he has a strong interest in sustainable materials and advancing a more plastic-free, environmentally responsible future.

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